Friday, October 30, 2009

Change in market sentiment:

Gross Domestic product (GDP) is the primary gauge of the economy’s health. Healthy economy should create job in a moderate phase, job hiring dropped from last quarter, which does not support that. US GDP advance increased from -0.7 to 3.5% which moved the market sentiment in the New York session. Economic commentators say that stimulus plan and “cash for clunker” helped the economy to recover from the recession. The national association for business economics thinks this growth will slow to a 2.4 percent pace in the October –December quarter. So we might observe a mixed economic data in near future.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Melbourne cup day interest rate rise:

Is it still on? Markets have priced in a 67 per cent chance that the Reserve's cash rate will go from 3.25 to 3.75 % - which would be the biggest rise in almost a decade - when it meets on the Melbourne cup day. The release of the Reserve's bullish views boosted Australian dollar over the last two weeks. This week some important indicators is showing some weakness in the US economy. Especially US consumer confidence and new home sale down by big numbers. Australian economists are also concerned about the inflation; interest rate rise won’t help the situation. So let's see what the reserve bank has to offer.